Canadian Prime Minister Carney arrives in Washington for high-stakes meeting with President Trump

Washington | Canada's new prime minister Mark Carney won the job with a promise to confront the increased aggression shown by President Donald Trump — and he'll have the opportunity to do that in a face-to-face Oval Office meeting on Tuesday.

Trump has shattered a decades-old alliance by saying he wants to make Canada the 51st US state and levying steep tariffs against an essential partner in the manufacturing of autos and the supply of oil, electricity and other goods. The outrage provoked by Trump enabled Carney's Liberal Party to score a stunning comeback victory last month as the ongoing trade war and attacks on Canadian sovereignty have outraged voters.

The Republican president has repeatedly threatened that he intends to make Canada the “51st state.” He said in an interview with NBC's “Meet the Press” that aired Sunday that the border is an “artificial line” that prevents the two territories from forming a “beautiful country.” Trump's openly adversarial approach has raised questions for Carney and other world leaders on how to manage relations with the US. Some world leaders, such as the United Kingdom's prime minister Keir Starmer engaged in a charm offensive. Others, such as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, were met by Trump with anger for not being sufficiently deferential.

Robert Bothwell, a professor of Canadian history and international relations at the University of Toronto, said Carney shouldn't meet with Trump.

“We've seen what he does. We saw what he did with Zelenskyy,” Bothwell said. “And he would sure as hell try to do the same with Carney. It's not in Carney's interest. It's not in Canada's interest.” Trump and Carney will meet in the Oval Office and have lunch. Carney has stressed that he was elected to specifically “stand up” to the US president and that Canada is “in a once-in-a-lifetime crisis.” Carney said he expects “difficult” but “constructive” conversations with his US counterpart.

Trump told reporters on Monday that he wasn't quite sure why Carney was visiting.

“I'm not sure what he wants to see me about,” Trump said. “But I guess he wants to make a deal.” US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick further stoked doubts about their interest in repairing the relationship with Canada in a Monday interview on Fox Business Network's “Kudlow” show.

Asked if the US could make a deal with Canada, Lutnick called the country a “socialist regime” that has been “basically feeding off America." Lutnick said Tuesday's meeting would be “fascinating.” Carney, at a Friday news conference ahead of his trip, said the talks would focus on immediate trade pressures and the broader economic and national security relationships.

He said his “government would fight to get the best deal for Canada” and “take all the time necessary” to do so, even as Canada pursues a parallel set of talks to deepen relations with other allies and lessen its commitments with the US.

Trump has maintained that the US doesn't need anything from Canada. He is actively going after a Canadian auto sector built largely by US companies, saying, “They're stopping work in Mexico, and they're stopping work in Canada, and they're all moving here.” He also said the US doesn't need Canada's energy — though nearly one-fourth of the oil that the US consumes daily comes from the province of Alberta.

The president has also disparaged Canada's military commitments despite a partnership that ranges from the beaches of Normandy in World War II to remote stretches of Afghanistan.

Trump has said that Canada spends “less money on military than practically any nation in the world." “They pay NATO less than any nation,” he said. "They think we are subsidising. They think we are going to protect them, and, really, we are. But the truth is, they don't carry their full share, and it's unfair to the United States and our taxpayers.” Bothwell noted that Carney might be under little pressure to reach a quick deal as Trump has at times reversed, delayed or defanged his tariffs, such that over time Trump might be in a weaker position if talks are prolonged.

“It may not matter as much in the summer as it does today because every time he's made one of these announcements, next week it's, 'Oh, I had my fingers crossed. I didn't mean it,'" he said of Trump.

Daniel Beland, a political science professor at McGill University, said Carney needed the quickly scheduled meeting with Trump to address the trade war started by the US. Trump has imposed 25 per cent tariffs on steel and aluminum and tariffs on other products outside the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, in some cases ostensibly to address relatively low volumes of fentanyl intercepted at the border between the two countries.

“Carney wants to show that he's doing everything he can, including taking political risks to protect Canadian jobs in areas such as the auto industry," Beland said. ”If he had postponed his first meeting with President Trump for months and months, opposition parties and commentators could have accused him of being overly shy and doing a disservice to Canada because of that.” Canada is the top export destination for 36 US states. Nearly 3.6 billion Canadian dollars (USD 2.7 billion) worth of goods and services cross the border each day. About 60 per cent of U.S. crude oil imports are from Canada, and 85 per cent of US electricity imports are from Canada.

Canada is also the largest foreign supplier of steel, aluminum and uranium to the US and has 34 critical minerals and metals that the Pentagon is eager for and investing in for national security. Canada is one of the most trade-dependent countries in the world, and 77 per cent of Canada's exports go to the US.